World property market slide worsens
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As financial markets tumble, the world’s housing markets have continued to slide during the year to end-Q2 2008.
Inflation-adjusted house prices fell in 21 out of the 33 countries for which there is up-to-date published data.
The Baltics, the US, the UK and Ireland led the global decline during the year to end-Q2 2008, the latest date for which comprehensive global statistics are available.
The biggest house price declines took place in Latvia, previously a leader of the global house price boom. House prices in Riga have fallen by 21.23% in nominal terms during the year to end-Q2 2008, and 33.08% in real terms.
Prices in Estonia’s Tallinn fell during the year by 11.02% in nominal terms, and 14.06% in real terms.
Quarterly data suggests that things are getting worse, with declines in inflation-adjusted house prices over the quarter in all except 9 of the 33 countries tracked. Latvia’s Riga saw the largest quarterly decline during Q2 of 2008, with average dwelling prices falling 5.20% in nominal terms, and 8.16% in real terms.
While quarterly data are subject to seasonal variations and are thus less reliable, the slide suggests that the situation is worsening.
Dramatic downturns
Since last year, there has been a dramatic turn-around in the world’s housing markets. Only 5 countries out of 33, at this stage last year, had seen y-o-y declines in house prices in real terms. This year’s total is 21.
Even in countries which have continued to record house prices rises over the past year such as China (Shanghai was up 36.32% y-o-y in nominal terms at the end of Q2 2008, 27.28% in inflation-adjusted terms), transaction volumes have fallen sharply, suggesting that buyers are now nervous. … more about this »
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